CHAPTER ONE: BENEFITS OF GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS
An understanding of the management potential of geographic information systems in law enforcement begins with awareness of what it can do. Twenty-one different functions of geographic information systems (GIS) are now being implemented by selected law enforcement jurisdictions across the country. While most jurisdictions implement only some of the possible functions of GIS, all jurisdictions surveyed reported significant benefits from implementation of crime mapping. None of the jurisdictions surveyed reported abandonment or even down-scaling of their experiments with GIS. On the contrary, most reported plans to expand the number of functions implemented by their agencies.
The policy implication of this research finding is that the North Carolina Governor's Crime Commission and other leadership organizations within the North Carolina law enforcement community should recognize the growing importance of GIS in crime analysis and must work to sensitize jurisdictions in North Carolina not only to the overall importance of GIS, but also to the opportunities for its employment beyond such initial functions as pin mapping of crime events. GIS can become a primary crime prevention and community wellness tool which can actually be used to help build neighborhood strength. Furthermore, a GIS-based analytical function has the potential to allow law enforcement to play an expanded role in municipal leadership.
Functions of GIS Beneficial to Law Enforcement Jurisdictions
Pin mapping of crime locations
Pin-mapping is often the initial GIS function
undertaken by law enforcement departments. Crime
locations can be represented as pinpoints on a map. A prominent example of this elementary form of
crime mapping, and the subject of a site visit, was New York City Police Department's CompStat Unit.
Located in the NYPD Command and Control Center, prominent among CompStat capabilities is
computerized pin mapping which displays crime, arrest, and quality of life data in comparative charts,
graphs, tables and other visual formats. Through the use of GIS software and other computer technology,
the CompStat database can generate precinct maps depicting virtually any combination of crime and/or
arrest locations, crime "hot spots," and other relevant information, all of which can be projected instantly
onto the Center's large video projection screens. These visual presentations are a useful and highly
effective adjunct to the CompStat Report since it permits precinct commanders and members of the
commissioner's staff to immediately identify, discuss, and explore trends and patterns as well as
solutions for crime and quality of life problems. (See
http://www.ci.nyc.ny.us/html/nypd/html/chfdept/process.html).
Mapping hot spots
Hot-spot mapping is the spatial representation of areas with high concentrations of crime. This GIS technique uses contour mapping or spatial clustering methods. Captain Bazemor of the Cary, NC, Police Department explained the benefits of hot spot mapping in crime prevention:
"If you can use crime mapping to show what areas are being targeted and what areas actually don't have any problem, then you can assign your resources in those problem areas, to actually focus on time of day, day of the week and so on. I think that if you saturate an area with law enforcement, then you are eventually going to prevent something from happening."
More complex forms of hot spot mapping use statistical techniques like standard deviational ellipses and k-means clustering to give a statistical basis to the drawing of hot spot areas on maps. STAC, from the Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, used by Baltimore County and other jurisdictions, is a program for this purpose, as is CrimeStat, from the NIJ Crime Mapping Research Center (see Appendix B).
Mapping crime density
Mapping crime density values, through shaded
contour maps, involves interpolating crime levels
by using spatial analysis to estimate crime levels
between points of observed crime. A dot density
map shows location and through clustering of dots
can show density, but it has the problem of overlaying dots at the same location, obscuring the true
density. Density surface mapping is a type of contour mapping , with shaded contours linking points of
approximately equal density. Using a color gradient to display increasing density (ex., darker reds), it is
easier to see the true density of any area. The rationale for density mapping was articulated in our Austin,
TX, interview:
"One of the limitations on pin-mapping is that, say you have an apartment complex that results in a lot of calls and if that address is 1212 Main Street, well, you'll get one dot on the map, but if you use spatial analysis you'll see that you may have a higher density of crime, so that density mapping is really good for quickly getting information out to people like patrol officers and detectives."
Creating briefing maps
The creation of briefing maps for beat-level patrol officers is the primary method of disseminating information to the front line of law enforcement. The strategic view of the analyst and managers must be translated to the tactical level if GIS and crime analysis is going to support the officer in the field. Sergeant Harold Medlock of the Charlotte- Mecklenburg Police Department made the value of briefing information clear when he stated:
"GIS maps give us information on what we think we know, but what it tells us a lot of times is what's going on when we're not working. The thing that officers have to remember is that they may know what's going on in that response area or in that neighborhood. They're not working 16 hours a day and two days off a week and they may be on vacation. So to get a more global picture of what's going on in a neighborhood or geographic area, the maps often can tell us that our assumptions aren't necessarily what we thought they were."
Likewise, Wilson, NC, Patrol Officer Mark McKenzie described the use of briefing maps in his city:
"We use maps in roll call, when we come in ... Our maps are of the whole city, which has four districts, and the maps are divided and color-coded for district, and if something specific is going on, different icons for different crimes, we can look on the map and see what's going on in the north district, central, south, and whatnot ... Also, since we work four days on and four days off, we lose a little bit while we're off, and when we come on, we can look and actually see what's happened in the past week that we've been off, and that helps us to know where we might need to concentrate our patrol a little bit more, if we're having a problem area."
Mapping for decision-making
Beat, sector, district, and city-wide level maps may be used routinely for strategic decision-making meetings in law enforcement. As an illustration, the Durham, NC monthly crime abatement meeting was attended by this project's Research Director. In this meeting Chief Teresa C. Chambers met with all four of her district commanders to discuss crime abatement. The centerpieces for the meeting were crime maps provided by the Crime Analysis Unit, interactively displayed using a LCD projector. Chief Chambers consistently focused on two types of analysis as she discussed crime in Durham districts and the department's strategy for reducing it: (1) pattern analysis to understand where crime was located and where was it going spatially and (2) temporal location analysis of the crimes as tool for guiding the deployment of officers at times when crime is most likely to happen. Likewise, from the Wilson, NC, Police Department came this response on how that jurisdiction routinely uses mapping for decision-making:
"We use maps every week. We have a commanders' meeting where based on the information
from the crime analysis and the mapping, we discuss issues about where break-ins are increasing
in a certain area, or the motor vehicle theft increases, so we use maps daily and weekly. I guess
what the mapping does is, we anticipate the changes going on in a certain area, based on calls
for service, and the unit's home address, what area's given out, what officers are responding all
the time. With the mapping, it's specific about how many we have, what area are they in, and
are they more frequent than they were last month or the year before, compared to time, month
of the year."
The Durham and Wilson examples reflect on small scale the much larger-scale use of mapping as a decision-making aid in New York City's CompStat process, or imitators like Baltimore's CitiStat.
Mapping for pattern detection
Pattern detection maps detect specific, repeating patterns of particular types of crime for purposes of allocating patrol resources. Criminals exhibit repeating sets of patterns or "MO's" (modus operandi) that can be as distinctive as a signature. Identifying a criminal's MO and matching it to a pattern of crime often leads to a successful arrest. In Cary, NC, the police department successfully used pattern detection to apprehend a suspect for vehicular break-ins and then used the map generated by GIS to prod the suspect into identifying the location of other cars he broke into:
"I did a map for an investigation that mapped out all the car break-ins. They had developed a suspect from another agency, charged the suspect on some of the car break-ins and larcenies from motor vehicles, and knew that he had done more. He said to the investigator, 'I know I've done more than this but I can't tell you where they are.' So I made a map of all the car break-ins, and he was able to point out on that map, yeah, I did this one, this one, this one, this one, this one, which resulted in a lot more clearances for our department."
Integrating interagency data
As crime mapping matures in an agency, data from other agencies may be integrated into the crime mapping process (e.g., property ownership from tax databases, demographic information from the Census, street light information from public works, alcohol sales information from the zoning department, etc.). This study's respondent from the County of Los Angeles noted, for instance:
"From the workstation that I'm sitting on, I can, if I want, know where the street lights are, where the fire hydrants are, where the sex offenders are, where the parolees live, what the hydrology is, if I want to know, ad nauseam. If I wanted to tap into an ortho-photo library [a library of aerial photographs on which map boundaries may be overlaid], I have it on my workstation." (1)
Some North Carolina agencies are also adept at integrating data from other agencies. Crime Analyst Belinda Pridgen relates how the Durham Crime Analysis Unit integrated various data sets to form a picture of how alcohol sales related to various crimes.
"Sure, we wanted to look at areas where alcohol and beer was being sold in neighborhoods, and we wanted to look at our demographic information such as income, race, employment levels, and so forth. And so we took information from a state county planning department, the county tax department along with other information and we mapped that."
Mapping time-series
Time-series maps can be used to detect seasonality or other time-dependent trends. A series of chronological overlays can be compared and contrasted, or even animated, to show, for example, how patterns in crime are or are not related to sequences of vacation days in the public school calendar. The Baltimore County Police Department routinely uses time series analysis to assess crimes such as juvenile motor vehicle thefts, no force residential burglaries, and robberies. Using GIS as a tool for preliminary analysis, Chief Statistician Phillip Canter and his team have isolated both seasonal patterns and target communities of the previously mentioned types of crime. Analysts were able to determine that juvenile motor vehicle theft, which previously peaked in the summer, is now shifting to the fall season. This knowledge allowed the Police Department to more efficiently allocate their resources. Mr. Canter's analysis also indicated that robberies in general tend to increase in cooler months rather than the more intuitive perception that it increases in the warmer months. Similarly, by using GIS in conjunction with statistical regression, Baltimore County was able to initiate an effective crime prevention program for "no force" residential burglaries. The Police Department used an autodialing system to provide public service messages to the projected target communities, warning about possible burglaries.
Proximity mapping
Proximity mapping is the creation of spatial buffer zones around an area of interest such as a school, the
address of an offender or even a crime incident. Often a particular type of arrest or crime within a certain
distance from a school may carry a heavier penalty or warrant closer attention. Another use of offender
proximity mapping once used in Cambridge, MA is buffering the address of sex offenders
"In 1996, when we started ... we had somebody working on the sex offender laws in Massachusetts ... we had a sex offender registry database and we would map radiuses around their places, so that people could find out if sex offenders lived within a certain radius of their homes, but that law has been suspended now, in Massachusetts, so it's not extensively implemented anymore."
Buffering can also be used in a different way, showing the areas of likely criminal opportunity for purposes of filtering suspects, as the Baltimore Country Police Department does:
"We look at the relationship between where an offense occurs and where the offender's last known place of residence was, and then we construct a function that describes how far they would travel to commit a crime. We use that as a guideline to extract out suspects. So we know, for instance, for firearm robberies, there's so many percent of all offenders that live within about six and a half miles of an offense location, so if you take a composite buffer that's six and a half miles from an offense location, there's a good chance that the offender lives within that area."
Mapping spatial displacements
Mapping spatial displacement is tracking the movement of crime patterns over time. For instance, parole release data may show spatial movement of concentrations of parolees by residence over time. Since in many cases offenders seem to have a limited range and prefer to commit crimes close to their residence, one may wish to track crime patterns over time to see if the two displacements correlate, suggesting a recidivism problem among parolees.
Spatial tracking
Spatially tracking serial offenders is a function implemented, for instance, by the Wilson, NC, Police Department as early as 1994. Crime mapping staff there noted:
"When there were several rapes in one neighborhood, and then we used GIS, they tracked that pattern, and then they saw this pattern move to another part of town, so they then looked to see that too, which led to arrests."
As a second example, Cary, NC, Police Department successfully combined several other functions with the spatial tracking to locate a suspect responsible for a rash of car break-ins, as noted:
"We also had a case of car break-ins ... They had a suspect, and they said, 'Well, we've got a clump of car break-ins in one area, and we've got a clump of break-ins in another area.' We were able to overlay suspects' information, suspects in car break-ins, on that map, and found that there was a suspect that lived in an area where a bunch of car break-ins were occurring, and then the other area where a bunch of car break-ins were occurring, the was where suspect's girlfriend lived, so they were able to clear those cases as well."
Resource allocation
Resource allocation involves using spatial analysis to create service zones or patrol areas, or using network analysis to establish emergency response routes or patrol routes. Our interviewees in Charlotte-Mecklenburg were able to manage overall police workload more efficiently with this function of GIS technology:
"Through the redistricting effort that we did, GIS enabled us to use a number of different data sources that we hadn't used in the past and did it in a more effective manner, and we were also more efficient because we cut down on the number of hours that it actually took ... we basically sat in a room with all the district captains and in one day, accomplished what took two people six to nine months to accomplish in the past."
Our Cary, NC respondent also reported similar success in using GIS to redistrict police beats. When asked to relate a success story she considered a "best practice" for others Jennifer Morgan said:
"Our beat redistricting maps ... made redistricting our beats a simple process rather than something that was extremely complicated."
Additionally, the Charlotte-Mecklenburg department, which other analysts in the state acknowledge as the state's leading innovator in methods and technology, uses GIS as a tool for resource acquisition: Officials there noted:
"We only had six officers in Mecklenburg County dedicated to ABC enforcement, but by using GIS we showed them what the problem was and they (ABC Enforcement) allowed twelve of our officers, which did not cost the state any additional revenue or anything like that, to have those powers. We pretty much tripled our coverage in a short time."
Real-time response mapping
Real-time response mapping is implemented in
Surry County, NC, for instance, where an E911
system and CAD software allow the dispatcher
to capture the address of the caller and generate
a digital street map showing the quickest route
to an incident (Newcombe, 1995). There is a
perceived need for real-time mapping in North
Carolina as elsewhere. (2) From the Winston-Salem, NC, interview, in response to the
question about how crime mapping services
could be improved in the future:
"More timely, current, accurate information ... to have things set up on in-car computers ... I can see when an officer goes out and investigates a break-in, he says, 'I wonder how many break-ins we've had in this area before?' ...and say 'Here's five other break-ins just like that, and then how many of them broke in the front window, and keep narrowing it down."
Mapping in community policing
In a community policing context, maps are an effective way of sharing information with Neighborhood
Watch and other community groups to encourage community-police cooperation in law enforcement. From
the Winston-Salem, NC, interview:
" We're incorporating the community ... ministers, community representatives, activists in the community, probation and parole. We've identified areas that are hot spots involved in that. This is really the first thing that we've really done with GIS mapping, and based on that we're getting the community involved, to go out ... we're going out in the community, with community members. We're getting the community involved in this and they see the maps, they see the power of this and why it's important. There's no end to what we can do with that, and it fits right in with problem-solving policing."
Similar use of crime mapping for Neighborhood Watch and other community outreach efforts was reported in Wilson, NC. In Durham, Captain Beverly Council noted how crime mapping can correct community misperceptions:
"You have a perception that you've got a drug problem, you have a perception (that) has to do with crime, but the map and the information we've got shows otherwise, and they can use it in that manner to get them started to help lay some groundwork for community policing."
Mapping recovery operations
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Recovery operations mapping is the overlaying
the locations of theft and recovery of stolen
vehicles or other property. This is done, for
instance, in Winston-Salem, NC, where a
patrolman described how recovery operations
mapping works:
"[Using crime mapping] every two weeks, officers know right now certain areas that suspects will frequently dump stolen vehicles, and that's what we're concentrating on now ... and we're also coming out with showing recovery locations along with theft locations to show that, if the pattern changes ... say five vehicles were stolen from Hanes Mall, and all of them have been recovered on the east side, by New Walkertown Road ... officers may head straight to that area ... if he's not there, then, great, but if he is, then we're there also."
Spatial situational analysis
Situational analysis is the analysis of types of crime by types
of setting. For example, crime mapping may focus on
analysis of crime in abandoned buildings; analysis of crime
in establishments serving liquor; analysis of crime in high
schools; overlaying setting maps to understand possible
interaction of settings.
Spatial situational analysis includes target profiling, as in comparing convenience
store locations with actual convenience store robberies. For instance, the Lenexa, KS, Police Department
applied spatial situational analysis to construction sites:
"We had a big problem with construction site theft, and so we plotted the locations of the sites that had already been hit, then went into our building permit files, in the Planning Department, and overlaid all the permits that had been issued. We did some surveillance on the sites that hadn't been hit yet, and were able to capture the folks as a result of that."
Similarly, the city of Wilson, NC, used situational analysis to successfully stake out targets and apprehend criminals when it had a problem with crime in abandoned buildings, and again when it had a problem with crime in churches.
Spatial historical analysis
GIS may involve historical analysis of non-crime events in relation to crime events (eg., producing spatial profiles of crime related to sporting events, for purposes of allocating patrol resources for future scheduled sports events). While this form of crime mapping analysis is still rare, in Greensboro this method is planned for fall, 2000, in relation to that city's major stadium.
Multivariate pattern analysis
Multivariate pattern analysis is the comparison of multiple variables and their spatial patterns based on incident reporting with patterns determined by some other database, such as based on dispatch data, warrant data, or crime victimization survey data. For instance, the Winston-Salem, NC, respondent noted:
"We look at where we've got our intensive probationers and we've got access to the jail lists, and we even look at who's been arrested for house break-ins and watch these, and who's in custody and who's not, and where they live, and where they're found burgling at. Based on that, we developed a trend just recently where my break-ins went up 75 percent when they see particular people got out of custody, and when they went back in, they dropped about 75 percent and the MOs are the same every time ... We found out that our case management system, unfortunately, looks at each case, when the case is referred, on a case by case basis ... [but with GIS] we were able to develop a pattern, a trend, and suspects, that we were able to focus on those key individuals, and make arrests, and both of them are in custody now with charges of several break-ins. We wouldn't be able to that without mapping."
Tactical crime analysis using suspect databases
Tactical crime analysis uses suspect databases to understand the spatial relation of distribution of suspects for a crime category in relation to the distribution of actual crimes in that category. Tactical analysis includes linkage analysis listing known suspects within a given distance from selected incidents. C. K. Lamm of the Wilson, NC, Police Department reported:
" I've set up several maps, on a monthly basis, where we'll check our field interviews that we do, and put them on top of the maps where our crimes are occurring and see what the relationship is between whoever we were doing our field interviews with and where we're having crime."
Orthophotographic mapping
Orthophotography is integrating aerial photographs as detail backdrops for map projections. The city of Wilson, NC, for instance, used orthophotographic mapping in its alcohol-related enforcement campaigns to allow ALE agents to see the area surrounding targets of interest better when looking at maps.
Spatial modeling
Spatially modeling is modeling crime based on the past history, poverty, or other determinants of crime using a structural equation simulation or other statistical methodology. This advanced technique was rarely undertaken by any of the cities in the North Carolina or national survey. Mesa, Arizona, however, was an exception where basic correlation analysis was undertaken: (3)
"Yes, we had a request to look at some socioeconomic grouping in a specific section of the city, and so we had Census data and some socioeconomic data, and put that together with some crime density mapping, and were able to show some great tendencies towards hot spots in the lower socioeconomic areas ... Upper management was looking at developing some community policing projects in the area and also looking at possible neighborhood grants for developing some projects to help reduce the crime in those areas."
Chapter summary
In summary, each of the 21 functions of GIS illustrates a significant way in which crime-mapping with GIS technology benefits law enforcement and plays a significant role in crime abatement. These various functions embody a range of difficulty of implementation, with very few surveyed jurisdictions having introduced all of them. The simplest function is pin mapping, which is the first function that most jurisdictions implement. Pin mapping is the gateway to the other crime mapping functions in part because the ability to implement good pin maps implies the jurisdiction has successfully addressed its data needs and has reliable base street maps. As skill and experience increase, crime analysts must go beyond pin mapping to more challenging functions with greater payoffs. Making communities aware of the range of possible GIS functions in law enforcement is a helpful step in laying the basis for strategic planning for GIS and was recognized as such by the respondents in our survey.
Notes:
1.
Interagency data cooperation is also noted by Bryan Hill 2. To take another example, the Delaware State Police, Real Time Crime Reporting (RTCR) Mapping
System, is integrated with police vehicles equipped with mobile data computers, GPS receivers, and
printers.+ (Contact Pam Harrison, pharrison@state.de.us; tel. 302-739-596). Another example of real-time mapping exists in the Baltimore County Police Department: "Each police car has an AVL, an Automatic Vehicle Locator, that's using a global positioning
system, and that transmits a signal to a CAD computer that has a mapping capability to it, and
they can see where the car is located." In Boston, police officers reported that their new real-time CAD system "is a lot better than using a pin map ... We get information right now, not when headquarters gets
around to sending it to us" (Nesbary, 2000: 17).
Another form of spatial modeling was carried out by the Baltimore County Police Department: "We did [spatial modeling] with domestic violence, and attempted to identify areas where we
thought these types of crimes may be under-reported. We've developed something called Public
Safety Indicators, and by using timely information, primarily obtained through CAD data, we've
been able to identify communities that we feel are going through some sort of transition, and it's
sort of like a community distress model, but it works very, very well, and it allows us to be
somewhat pro-active in that sense. You know, where a lot of it's based on social disorder theory,
for example, but we look for certain symptoms that a community might be exhibiting, that could
suggest that it's going through some sort of change, one way or the other. It might be a positive
change, too."